Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | ACU +118 FOR -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +14 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -2.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-41.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -0.5 (+13.5) | 140.9 (-36.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -1.2 (+12.8) | 141.0 (-37.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -1.1 (+12.9) | 142.0 (-38.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -2.0 (+12.0) | 142.4 (-38.4) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#190) | -2.8 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#151) | -0.20 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#122) | -0.22 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#186) | 0.448 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.