Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | WSU -290 URI +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +21 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -5.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -6.9 (+14.1) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -3.8 (+17.2) | 143.9 (-8.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -3.3 (+17.7) | 146.3 (-11.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -5.1 (+15.9) | 144.0 (-9.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#78) | -0.3 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#105) | 0.27 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#73) | 0.41 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#120) | 0.445 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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