Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN -450 AMER +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -16.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -9.3 (-4.3) | 140.5 (+30.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -10.4 (-5.4) | 141.8 (+29.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -11.8 (-6.8) | 142.2 (+28.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -10.5 (-5.5) | 141.8 (+29.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2022 | AMER 74 – 70 GTWN |
| Nov 17, 2021 | GTWN 79 – 57 AMER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-12 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#169) | -7.2 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#346) | -1.14 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#333) | -2.32 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.344 (#310) | 0.378 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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