Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | GTWN -1200 AMER +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +22 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | AMER -3.2 (+25.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -3.2 (+25.2) | 140.1 (-4.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -4.3 (+26.3) | 137.4 (-1.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -1.4 (+23.4) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | GTWN 88 – 83 AMER |
| Nov 23, 2022 | AMER 74 – 70 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 0-19 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-11 | 6-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L21 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#312) | 6.2 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#337) | 2.10 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.21 (#335) | 2.95 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#306) | 0.688 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 10.2% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 5.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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