Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | USF -120 UNI +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USF +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | USF -8.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USF -8.1 (+0.9) | 146.1 (-7.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USF -12.8 (-3.8) | 145.4 (-6.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USF -10.7 (-1.7) | 146.2 (-7.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2022 | USF 72 – 69 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#179) | 0.6 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#337) | -1.75 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#329) | -2.52 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.309 (#335) | 0.250 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 22.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 38.0% | 10.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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