All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Littlejohn Coliseum · November 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -5.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money CLEM -240 / BOIS +196
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual CLEM +17 153 Won
Massey CLEM -12.0 (+5.0)
Massey Totals 131.8 (+21.2)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -10.1 (+6.9) 134.2 (+18.8) 82%
Baseline ML CLEM -11.3 (+5.7) 133.6 (+19.4) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -9.0 (+8.0) 135.0 (+18.0) 79%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 17, 2024 BOIS 8471 CLEM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM BOIS
Overall 24-12 22-11
Conference 11-9 13-5
Home 12-4 13-3
Away 6-6 7-3
Neutral 6-2 2-5
Last 5 3-0 1-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 77.4 73.6
Avg Pts Against 71.2 67.6
Massey 4.4 (#95) 0.8 (#163)
Bradley-Terry 1.78 (#47) 0.60 (#120)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.96 (#78) 0.89 (#124)
RPI 0.683 (#28) 0.625 (#58)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM BOIS
FG% 46.0% 42.6%
3PT% 37.8% 38.5%
REB / G 32.0 35.0
OREB / G 7.3 10.0
AST / TO 1.80 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.9% 47.2%
TOV% 14.7% 17.9%
ORB% 22.2% 29.4%
FT Rate 18.4% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 25.1%
DRB% 73.3% 78.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 15.4%

Game Analysis

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