Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -175 CLEM +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -10.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -9.8 (+3.2) | 144.0 (+11.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -8.5 (+4.5) | 145.2 (+9.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -8.8 (+4.2) | 144.3 (+10.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -6.6 (+6.4) | 138.7 (+16.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | CLEM 85 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 18-2 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#27) | 9.1 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#177) | 1.66 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#169) | 2.40 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#158) | 0.628 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.21 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 59.3% |
| TOV% | 10.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 40.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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