Wake Forest
Demon Deacons
80
–
86
OT
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
LSU
Tigers
Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | WAKE -110 LSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +6 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -1.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -2.1 (-8.1) | 140.7 (+25.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -1.4 (-7.4) | 144.5 (+21.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -1.3 (-7.3) | 146.4 (+19.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -1.5 (-7.5) | 144.7 (+21.3) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | LSU 72 – 70 WAKE |
| Nov 28, 2021 | LSU 75 – 61 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#79) | 3.9 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#168) | -0.98 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#158) | -1.11 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#170) | 0.454 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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