Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +14 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -13.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -12.7 (-1.3) | 146.1 (-10.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -9.1 (-4.9) | 144.9 (-8.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -7.5 (-6.5) | 144.3 (-8.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -9.5 (-4.5) | 148.0 (-12.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | LSU 86 – 80 WAKE |
| Dec 10, 2022 | LSU 72 – 70 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 18-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 63.4 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#58) | 20.7 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#81) | 3.08 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#87) | 4.64 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#211) | 0.679 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 41.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 28.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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