Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +115 WAKE -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -1.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -0.4 (+2.4) | 140.4 (+1.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -0.7 (+2.7) | 144.3 (-2.3) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -0.5 (+2.5) | 144.6 (-2.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -0.5 (+2.5) | 144.3 (-2.3) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2023 | LSU 86 – 80 WAKE |
| Nov 28, 2021 | LSU 75 – 61 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#102) | 5.0 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#51) | 1.84 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#45) | 2.45 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#83) | 0.608 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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