Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | GASO +163 KENN -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +4 | 188 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -4.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+44.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -2.8 (-1.2) | 143.9 (+44.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -3.1 (-0.9) | 141.8 (+46.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -2.4 (-1.6) | 144.2 (+43.8) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#345) | -7.1 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#318) | -0.72 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#309) | -1.11 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.242 (#351) | 0.375 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.6% | 31.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 16.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 34.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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