Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | STMN +210 PRST -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -14.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.4 (+27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -10.1 (+16.1) | 110.9 (+35.1) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -10.1 (+16.1) | 123.2 (+22.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -7.7 (+13.7) | 124.2 (+21.8) | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -6.6 (+12.6) | 116.6 (+29.4) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | STMN 91 – 65 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#266) | 9.8 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#330) | 3.58 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#338) | 4.76 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.240 (#352) | 0.673 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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