Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -250 UALB +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +3 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -7.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -5.2 (-2.2) | 150.6 (+16.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -5.2 (-2.2) | 152.6 (+14.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -4.9 (-1.9) | 152.2 (+14.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -4.2 (-1.2) | 152.5 (+14.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 10-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#222) | -0.6 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#121) | 1.63 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#128) | 2.34 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#250) | 0.616 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 10.7% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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