Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–22 on winners spread MAE 10.0 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Bryant @ Boston University +4.4 127.7 67% 79–95 ✓
NJIT @ American University +18.1 138.7 90% 73–87 ✓
Presbyterian @ North Florida +4.3 142.6 60% 81–69 ✗
Furman @ Liberty +1.7 143.8 51% 74–88 ✓
Wright State @ Indiana +10.2 145.9 81% 80–89 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UCF +13.0 143.0 84% 44–72 ✓
Texas Southern @ Virginia +28.3 133.1 90% 33–62 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UL Monroe +2.6 135.8 43% 73–63 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas Tech +20.2 129.7 87% 64–73 ✓
Alcorn State @ UAB +12.6 148.2 86% 77–80 ✓
Chicago State @ Southern Illinois +18.3 140.1 87% 55–71 ✓
Nicholls @ South Alabama +2.0 138.5 45% 102–97 ✗
Jackson State @ Tulsa +14.6 146.1 85% 52–72 ✓
UT Arlington @ New Mexico +17.3 142.9 85% 80–82 ✓
Missouri @ Minnesota +11.3 144.6 81% 70–68 ✗
Auburn @ Notre Dame -3.0 144.5 36% 83–59 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Arizona State -6.4 130.7 25% 69–71 ✗
William & Mary @ Omaha -5.0 146.9 27% 83–89 ✗
Utah @ Wake Forest -6.4 151.3 27% 77–70 ✓
North Dakota State @ Montana +9.3 140.4 81% 78–69 ✗
Montana State @ California +3.4 147.7 56% 63–60 ✗
Niagara @ Hawai'i — — — 73–92 —
Sacred Heart @ UMBC -0.5 155.8 51% 80–85 ✗
North Texas @ LSU +1.7 137.7 72% 62–66 ✓
Vermont @ Saint Louis -1.3 136.5 48% 78–68 ✓
Norfolk State @ Fordham -1.8 137.8 46% 64–77 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Georgia State +9.0 153.5 81% 70–64 ✗
St. John's @ Dayton +3.9 133.1 62% 81–88 ✓
VMI @ South Dakota -0.6 149.2 55% 81–85 ✗
Charleston @ Wyoming +2.0 144.1 57% 60–67 ✓
Georgia @ Miami +5.2 149.8 71% 68–79 ✓
Abilene Christian @ San José State +2.4 131.6 55% 77–71 ✗
Denver @ South Alabama +0.1 158.3 51% 75–82 ✓
Lindenwood @ Omaha +5.8 142.8 77% 72–70 ✗
Weber State @ Gardner-Webb -6.2 132.8 31% 61–62 ✗
Maine @ Presbyterian +4.4 134.5 52% 80–66 ✗
Houston @ Utah -4.4 131.5 34% 76–66 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Arizona -9.8 144.8 18% 77–67 ✓
Notre Dame @ Oklahoma State +1.5 132.2 63% 66–64 ✗
Holy Cross @ Winthrop +0.7 141.6 53% 51–89 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Army +1.0 137.7 43% 67–58 ✗
Bucknell @ Duke +18.5 140.9 89% 60–90 ✓
Delaware State @ Grambling +1.9 140.8 48% 71–63 ✗
Hampton @ Kent State -0.2 156.4 48% 62–100 ✗
Colgate @ Yale +2.9 146.3 58% 50–68 ✓
Providence @ Kansas State -4.1 140.5 35% 70–73 ✗
Butler @ Michigan State -5.6 135.5 34% 54–74 ✗
William & Mary @ Air Force +6.0 140.6 73% 71–80 ✓
Utah Tech @ Youngstown State +0.5 144.1 50% 68–75 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Furman +8.2 152.9 75% 80–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.