We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–16 on winners spread MAE 11.2 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Denver @ Nicholls +1.4 155.7 52% 91–85 ✗
Delaware @ Delaware State -8.4 135.1 17% 78–67 ✓
Canisius @ Cleveland State +8.5 150.5 80% 61–71 ✓
Richmond @ Boston College +7.0 148.6 76% 61–68 ✓
Coppin State @ Louisville +9.8 150.5 83% 41–61 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -2.5 139.7 45% 70–71 ✗
Princeton @ Duquesne +8.3 143.2 67% 70–67 ✗
Utah Valley @ Charlotte +4.0 136.8 66% 45–62 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ East Carolina +18.3 143.6 87% 83–81 ✗
Merrimack @ Ohio State +4.2 139.0 67% 52–76 ✓
Central Michigan @ South Florida +31.0 149.3 91% 68–63 ✗
Radford @ VCU -0.7 140.0 55% 50–73 ✗
Binghamton @ Loyola Maryland +10.3 146.1 81% 63–57 ✗
Cornell @ George Mason +8.6 137.0 74% 83–90 ✓
Evansville @ Southeast Missouri State +2.8 143.0 42% 76–57 ✗
Florida International @ Houston Christian +3.8 151.3 38% 83–74 ✗
Longwood @ Maryland Eastern Shore +6.0 145.3 55% 80–61 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Illinois State +12.3 146.4 86% 61–69 ✓
Stony Brook @ Nebraska +21.0 134.5 88% 63–84 ✓
Georgetown @ Rutgers +8.3 133.7 61% 60–71 ✓
Rice @ Texas +25.4 147.1 89% 64–80 ✓
SE Louisiana @ BYU +24.3 150.1 89% 48–105 ✓
Tennessee State @ Portland — — — 75–65 —
Northern Arizona @ Seattle U +16.6 134.8 88% 62–60 ✗
Long Island University @ UCLA +25.8 131.9 89% 58–78 ✓
Pacific @ Nevada +15.7 143.9 85% 39–88 ✓
Morgan State @ Fresno State +13.8 146.6 87% 68–87 ✓
Charleston @ Vermont +5.8 136.4 67% 64–73 ✓
St. John's @ North Texas +2.3 147.9 58% 53–52 ✗
Saint Louis @ Wyoming +1.1 138.9 54% 79–69 ✗
Northwestern State @ Maine +1.8 138.9 56% 65–78 ✓
Dayton @ LSU +2.2 141.6 66% 70–67 ✗
Wichita State @ Coastal Carolina — — — 86–77 —
Denver @ SIU Edwardsville -5.7 139.8 23% 74–77 ✗
Oklahoma State @ St. Bonaventure -1.8 134.6 37% 64–66 ✗
Lindenwood @ Air Force +19.6 136.1 91% 58–76 ✓
Houston @ Towson -11.0 123.9 21% 65–49 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.