Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–15 on winners spread MAE 11.3 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi Valley State @ UConn +39.6 154.5 91% 53–87 ✓
Duke @ Michigan State -2.5 138.9 34% 74–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Florida Atlantic +19.8 138.5 88% 57–100 ✓
Mercer @ Morehead State -1.8 140.7 27% 66–74 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Jacksonville +6.2 133.5 65% 68–85 ✓
Bellarmine @ Chattanooga +18.8 145.6 88% 64–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Indiana State +2.0 142.2 36% 57–96 ✓
Lipscomb @ Tennessee Tech +4.1 139.2 60% 96–65 ✗
Temple @ Drexel +3.8 142.5 61% 66–64 ✗
Saint Francis @ Penn State +24.3 133.6 89% 53–83 ✓
Bowling Green @ Oakland +2.3 134.1 54% 62–81 ✓
Colgate @ Syracuse +17.9 149.7 85% 75–79 ✓
Wagner @ Rhode Island +14.6 145.6 78% 53–69 ✓
High Point @ Queens University -0.4 158.1 49% 72–74 ✗
Northeastern @ Harvard +16.9 148.6 86% 56–80 ✓
Hofstra @ George Washington +27.1 148.4 88% 60–71 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Holy Cross +10.9 146.5 79% 84–77 ✗
Toledo @ Wright State -4.5 157.2 29% 78–77 ✓
Stonehill @ Saint Joseph's +20.5 134.2 89% 56–100 ✓
Florida A&M @ Florida +26.4 151.8 91% 68–89 ✓
Jacksonville State @ West Virginia +8.0 139.6 67% 57–70 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Virginia +31.0 143.3 91% 51–80 ✓
Brown @ New Hampshire +6.8 142.7 64% 64–82 ✓
Boston University @ Howard +10.5 143.3 81% 53–64 ✓
North Alabama @ Mississippi State +13.7 143.0 83% 54–81 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Georgia Tech +5.9 142.5 44% 74–71 ✗
Marquette @ Illinois +4.9 138.9 53% 71–64 ✗
Texas A&M @ SMU +7.7 136.3 66% 79–66 ✗
South Alabama @ Alabama +13.6 146.5 74% 46–102 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Abilene Christian +8.6 136.3 80% 79–74 ✗
Alcorn State @ Arkansas State +8.0 153.6 82% 86–100 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Vanderbilt +3.9 147.2 63% 70–74 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Ole Miss +17.3 136.7 89% 69–70 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Murray State +7.4 143.1 72% 86–81 ✗
Green Bay @ Valparaiso +5.0 132.6 75% 59–64 ✓
Colorado State @ Northern Colorado — — — 83–64 —
Tarleton State @ Bradley +6.6 139.7 74% 63–86 ✓
Texas State @ Oklahoma +9.4 133.7 77% 54–93 ✓
UTSA @ Lamar +11.2 147.7 83% 82–90 ✓
Western Michigan @ Northwestern +13.5 141.7 78% 59–63 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ TCU +28.4 156.6 91% 55–88 ✓
UIC @ Loyola Chicago +5.3 142.8 71% 72–67 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Chicago State +1.3 138.9 65% 74–64 ✗
Milwaukee @ Colorado +20.7 147.4 87% 79–106 ✓
South Dakota @ DePaul -6.6 149.5 30% 60–72 ✗
Southern Utah @ Utah State +8.9 139.4 75% 84–93 ✓
Santa Clara @ Stanford +10.2 151.1 79% 89–77 ✗
Kentucky @ Kansas +5.2 145.5 70% 84–89 ✓
Iowa @ Creighton +9.0 159.4 75% 84–92 ✓
Kansas City @ Baylor — — — 61–99 —
Long Beach State @ San Diego State +10.9 142.3 83% 76–88 ✓
Jackson State @ Loyola Marymount +3.7 152.4 70% 66–88 ✓
App State @ Oregon State +8.1 150.8 75% 71–81 ✓
UC Irvine @ USC +14.2 149.0 84% 70–60 ✗
Campbell @ Virginia Tech +20.4 141.9 88% 44–60 ✓
UAlbany @ Seton Hall +18.6 141.6 87% 71–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.