I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–5 on winners spread MAE 10.0 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida International @ Miami +27.8 151.9 91% 80–86 ✓
Villanova @ Pennsylvania +5.9 141.5 72% 72–76 ✓
Siena @ American University +3.8 139.1 62% 58–78 ✓
The Citadel @ Presbyterian +12.3 133.1 82% 64–71 ✓
Hampton @ Norfolk State — — — 68–75 —
Central Michigan @ Florida State +26.1 151.4 91% 67–94 ✓
North Florida @ South Carolina State -5.1 147.2 27% 77–87 ✗
Stony Brook @ Duquesne +16.2 152.3 84% 63–85 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Butler +24.2 145.2 88% 47–81 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Massachusetts +17.8 149.6 86% 81–102 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Pittsburgh +26.2 140.3 89% 74–86 ✓
VMI @ South Carolina +18.7 148.2 88% 64–74 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Northwestern State +2.2 140.1 49% 96–70 ✗
Western Carolina @ Middle Tennessee +8.5 133.1 74% 66–64 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Central Arkansas +6.8 139.7 70% 85–83 ✗
Southern @ Arizona +27.5 160.9 90% 59–97 ✓
Stetson @ Houston +35.5 130.8 91% 48–79 ✓
Old Dominion @ Arkansas +18.9 144.9 86% 77–86 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Missouri +7.8 136.8 79% 50–68 ✓
South Dakota State @ Kansas State +7.8 150.7 68% 68–91 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Missouri State +5.0 137.0 76% 69–84 ✓
Rider @ Nebraska +22.7 139.7 89% 50–64 ✓
Xavier @ Purdue +14.8 139.4 87% 71–83 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UTEP — — — 76–89 —
Cal State Bakersfield @ California +3.1 149.9 67% 63–83 ✓
Long Island University @ Pepperdine +23.0 145.6 88% 53–88 ✓
North Dakota State @ UC Davis -0.8 148.2 47% 53–68 ✗
Wisconsin @ Providence +8.1 149.3 77% 59–72 ✓
Wofford @ Tennessee +26.1 147.6 90% 61–82 ✓
Bucknell @ La Salle +9.0 138.3 80% 57–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.