Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ -1000 STBK +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +22 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -17.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -12.6 (+9.4) | 150.1 (-2.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -16.2 (+5.8) | 152.3 (-4.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -15.6 (+6.4) | 151.0 (-3.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | DUQ 84 – 75 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#152) | -5.1 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#32) | -1.13 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#36) | -1.90 (#303) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.250 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 43.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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