Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -275 QUIN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +21 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -18.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -15.5 (+5.5) | 149.4 (+33.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -17.8 (+3.2) | 149.6 (+33.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -16.0 (+5.0) | 152.8 (+30.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#67) | -2.6 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#65) | 0.43 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#55) | 0.49 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#30) | 0.500 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 43.5% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 4.00 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 6.5% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 10.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 90.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.3% | 11.9% |
Game Analysis
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