Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Over |
| Money | FSU -2000 CMU +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +27 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -29.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -21.9 (+5.1) | 149.9 (+11.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -26.1 (+0.9) | 151.4 (+9.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#70) | -13.3 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#132) | -2.20 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#126) | -3.31 (#341) |
| RPI | — | 0.312 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.8% | 60.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.