Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | LAS -600 BUCK +430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -12.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -7.3 (+4.7) | 134.7 (-8.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -8.0 (+4.0) | 140.6 (-14.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -9.0 (+3.0) | 138.3 (-12.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -8.7 (+3.3) | 136.1 (-10.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | LAS 82 – 72 BUCK |
| Dec 18, 2021 | BUCK 82 – 70 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#242) | -4.2 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#47) | -0.38 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#53) | -0.63 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.875 (#20) | 0.374 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 56.0% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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