Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -0.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -0.4 (+11.6) | 150.6 (+1.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -0.2 (+12.2) | 149.3 (+2.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -0.6 (+11.4) | 149.3 (+2.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -0.5 (+11.5) | 151.3 (+0.7) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2023 | LAS 69 – 57 BUCK |
| Dec 7, 2022 | LAS 82 – 72 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-15 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#313) | -4.9 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#327) | -0.91 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#316) | -1.89 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#344) | 0.422 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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