Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LAS -188 BUCK +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -0.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -3.9 (+6.1) | 135.2 (+18.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -0.9 (+9.1) | 138.0 (+16.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -1.4 (+8.6) | 138.4 (+15.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -2.4 (+7.6) | 136.7 (+17.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2023 | LAS 69 – 57 BUCK |
| Dec 18, 2021 | BUCK 82 – 70 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#254) | 0.5 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#205) | -0.29 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#224) | -0.31 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#184) | 0.464 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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