Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -1400 RID +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +14 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -20.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -17.9 (-3.9) | 140.0 (-26.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -22.7 (-8.7) | 139.7 (-25.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -18.0 (-4.0) | 136.8 (-22.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 18-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#103) | -5.6 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#108) | -0.37 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#100) | -0.53 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#144) | 0.750 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 49.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 39.3% | 12.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.0% | 65.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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