Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -23.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.0 Over |
| Money | MIA -3500 FIU +1350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +6 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | MIA -29.5 (-23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIA -22.0 (-16.0) | 156.5 (+9.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -21.5 (-15.5) | 150.1 (+15.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -27.8 (-21.8) | 151.9 (+14.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -26.9 (-20.9) | 152.0 (+14.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | MIA 98 – 81 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#63) | -12.6 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#119) | -2.12 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#119) | -3.15 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#98) | 0.125 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 44.9% | 24.0% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.8% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 29.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 28.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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