Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | MIA -6500 FIU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +17 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | MIA -22.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIA -19.5 (-2.5) | 156.8 (+22.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -19.9 (-2.9) | 152.1 (+26.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -21.1 (-4.1) | 152.4 (+26.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -21.3 (-4.3) | 154.1 (+24.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2023 | MIA 86 – 80 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#25) | -1.7 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#51) | -0.01 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#45) | -0.04 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#83) | 0.527 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 59.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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