Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | PROV -105 WIS -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PROV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PROV +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | PROV -7.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | PROV -6.8 (+6.2) | 148.5 (-17.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PROV -8.1 (+4.9) | 149.3 (-18.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PROV -6.9 (+6.1) | 151.2 (-20.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | WIS 104 – 83 PROV |
| Nov 16, 2021 | PROV 63 – 58 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PROV | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#170) | 3.6 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#126) | -1.06 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#128) | -1.35 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#208) | 0.450 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PROV | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 52.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.