Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MOST -250 ORU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -7.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -3.5 (+11.5) | 140.3 (+12.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -5.0 (+10.0) | 137.0 (+16.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | MOST 63 – 62 ORU |
| Dec 1, 2024 | MOST 72 – 67 ORU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | ORU 80 – 77 MOST |
| Dec 11, 2021 | MOST 69 – 60 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#209) | 2.3 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#308) | -0.50 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#316) | -0.60 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.000 (#315) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.4% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 17.5% |
| FT Rate | 6.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 41.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.