Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -12.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -10.4 (-1.4) | 152.3 (-23.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -12.0 (-3.0) | 154.8 (-25.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -11.6 (-2.6) | 152.6 (-23.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -12.4 (-3.4) | 152.5 (-23.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | MOST 63 – 62 ORU |
| Dec 1, 2024 | MOST 72 – 67 ORU |
| Nov 14, 2023 | MOST 84 – 69 ORU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | ORU 80 – 77 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#80) | -2.1 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#216) | -1.05 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#191) | -0.96 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#259) | 0.473 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
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