Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ORU +110 MOST -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -2.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -2.7 (-2.3) | 150.6 (-11.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -2.8 (-2.2) | 150.5 (-11.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -3.4 (-1.6) | 151.9 (-12.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -2.6 (-2.4) | 153.4 (-14.4) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2025 | MOST 63 – 62 ORU |
| Nov 14, 2023 | MOST 84 – 69 ORU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | ORU 80 – 77 MOST |
| Dec 11, 2021 | MOST 69 – 60 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 2-18 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 0-15 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.0 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#318) | -1.1 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#324) | 0.11 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#329) | 0.47 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#305) | 0.555 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.0% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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