Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -2500 SIUE +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +18 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -7.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -7.2 (+10.8) | 131.4 (-13.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -7.8 (+10.2) | 136.8 (-18.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -7.3 (+10.7) | 130.5 (-12.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | MIZ 105 – 80 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-11 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L19 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#270) | -1.2 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#286) | -0.65 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#282) | -0.99 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#96) | 0.250 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 32.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 37.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
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