Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -2000 SIUE +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +25 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -10.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -9.8 (+15.2) | 159.0 (+26.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -14.8 (+10.2) | 160.9 (+24.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -17.5 (+7.5) | 162.3 (+22.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2023 | MIZ 68 – 50 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#153) | 0.9 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#57) | -0.56 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#54) | -0.72 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#88) | 0.250 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.78 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 12.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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