Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | SC -2800 VMI +1250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SC -17.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -13.9 (-3.9) | 149.9 (-11.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -18.7 (-8.7) | 148.2 (-10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -19.2 (-9.2) | 146.2 (-8.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 1-17 |
| Home | 14-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 8-3 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 84.9 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#35) | 1.8 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#56) | -0.31 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#68) | -0.37 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#98) | 0.750 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 51.2% | 42.1% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 13.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.9% | 9.3% |
| DRB% | 82.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 38.1% |
Game Analysis
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