Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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65–32 on winners spread MAE 9.5 97 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Jacksonville @ Stetson +4.5 135.4 64% 75–91 ✓
Monmouth @ Iona +1.1 152.0 49% 86–91 ✓
Saint Louis @ Dayton -2.0 140.6 43% 53–76 ✗
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -4.8 145.0 28% 68–75 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point -7.2 144.1 19% 71–63 ✓
Southern Miss @ Florida International +0.8 139.2 49% 85–72 ✗
Akron @ Ball State -4.0 144.2 33% 88–79 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge -4.6 144.9 29% 75–74 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +5.7 145.1 71% 60–64 ✓
Old Dominion @ UAB +10.4 135.4 81% 69–76 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Lipscomb +9.8 138.0 83% 62–76 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's +6.8 121.6 75% 54–59 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +10.6 130.6 85% 57–68 ✓
North Dakota @ Omaha -0.4 146.3 51% 62–72 ✗
Green Bay @ UIC +1.1 144.6 52% 58–61 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego -7.8 135.7 20% 81–75 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State +0.4 142.7 43% 68–67 ✗
Wyoming @ New Mexico -6.5 141.0 25% 79–67 ✓
Utah Valley @ New Mexico State +2.0 146.9 60% 69–66 ✗
California Baptist @ Grand Canyon +11.0 144.1 86% 61–71 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech -1.2 145.9 46% 77–59 ✓
Toledo @ Buffalo +3.3 158.0 65% 80–70 ✗
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton -5.1 144.0 29% 89–78 ✓
UNLV @ San José State -8.9 143.9 17% 76–60 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State +4.1 138.8 73% 77–81 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +10.1 133.3 82% 66–71 ✓
Navy @ American University -0.4 147.6 44% 72–60 ✓
UCF @ Tulane -0.4 129.8 42% 84–81 ✓
Michigan State @ Indiana +8.4 139.1 79% 78–71 ✗
Siena @ Niagara -2.8 132.2 48% 62–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Miami -3.6 139.6 36% 87–60 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's -1.8 150.6 44% 82–91 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Alabama +16.3 155.1 88% 78–82 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +6.1 142.0 77% 60–68 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee +9.8 138.4 82% 70–55 ✗
New Hampshire @ UMass Lowell +4.1 138.7 65% 69–67 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh -4.4 149.5 37% 75–47 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +21.2 153.1 90% 72–82 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +4.1 142.3 73% 64–80 ✓
Wofford @ Western Carolina -3.5 147.6 39% 80–56 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel -2.5 159.3 46% 74–75 ✗
Texas Tech @ Kansas +3.4 139.3 72% 61–67 ✓
Missouri @ South Carolina -2.5 150.9 37% 93–78 ✓
Notre Dame @ Syracuse +4.8 148.6 70% 67–75 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Florida A&M +6.0 138.1 65% 57–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.3 136.7 40% 71–76 ✗
NC State @ Wake Forest +0.5 141.2 49% 80–62 ✗
Furman @ Mercer -2.0 149.4 42% 70–60 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Kent State +20.4 149.7 91% 51–64 ✓
Elon @ William & Mary +3.2 137.9 61% 75–54 ✗
Sacramento State @ Southern Utah +6.6 150.0 76% 57–77 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State +16.8 147.6 89% 52–74 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana -3.7 149.7 35% 90–76 ✓
George Mason @ VCU +11.9 138.4 86% 79–76 ✗
West Virginia @ Texas +3.5 150.1 64% 84–82 ✗
Holy Cross @ Army +11.9 149.0 85% 65–69 ✓
BYU @ Loyola Marymount -4.3 141.9 36% 88–71 ✓
Portland State @ Idaho -9.0 132.8 18% 71–40 ✓
Illinois @ Minnesota -2.7 150.5 39% 94–63 ✓
Georgia @ Florida +9.5 155.6 82% 63–70 ✓
Florida State @ Pittsburgh -4.0 148.7 37% 79–72 ✓
Binghamton @ NJIT +8.5 139.5 76% 76–63 ✗
Stony Brook @ UAlbany +4.8 138.3 66% 59–43 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State -0.1 136.5 54% 76–85 ✗
Merrimack @ Bryant +5.6 147.4 69% 58–60 ✓
Sacred Heart @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.5 154.5 53% 76–88 ✓
Auburn @ LSU +6.6 159.9 76% 80–104 ✓
Troy @ Georgia State +9.6 140.2 82% 53–65 ✓
South Alabama @ App State +1.9 135.4 54% 56–54 ✗
Old Dominion @ UAB +10.4 136.3 80% 65–58 ✗
Pacific @ Portland -10.4 146.9 16% 80–58 ✓
Duquesne @ Richmond +9.1 138.4 80% 72–79 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota +2.3 158.1 67% 84–86 ✓
Jacksonville @ Stetson +4.6 136.7 67% 86–82 ✗
Canisius @ Fairfield -4.4 137.5 28% 53–66 ✗
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky -7.4 147.3 24% 77–71 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +2.4 148.9 66% 70–77 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee +3.3 158.3 70% 87–89 ✓
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy +9.9 151.8 81% 61–80 ✓
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -3.9 145.0 35% 67–55 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Tennessee State -7.4 139.2 20% 77–76 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Belmont +19.8 151.3 91% 66–90 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Austin Peay +9.1 145.1 81% 76–69 ✗
Morehead State @ UT Martin -12.2 134.5 14% 79–69 ✓
Lamar @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +0.2 136.7 45% 68–77 ✓
Kansas State @ TCU +8.6 139.3 80% 62–54 ✗
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +4.7 139.6 72% 55–60 ✓
Seton Hall @ Georgetown -2.2 140.3 45% 75–81 ✗
Purdue @ Nebraska -6.3 134.1 26% 75–58 ✓
Oklahoma @ Iowa State -12.7 142.4 14% 66–56 ✓
Arizona @ USC +8.0 139.5 78% 81–72 ✗
Louisville @ North Carolina +3.1 136.3 71% 54–99 ✓
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss +5.7 133.1 70% 66–56 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Southeast Missouri State -5.2 155.0 31% 72–94 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Nicholls +13.0 152.5 87% 68–79 ✓
Pepperdine @ Santa Clara -2.2 143.7 43% 82–86 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois -7.1 137.3 25% 69–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.