Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–11 on winners spread MAE 9.6 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ Wichita State -5.8 138.1 33% 63–68 ✗
Iowa @ Wisconsin -0.7 147.3 46% 77–62 ✓
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -5.0 129.7 25% 70–62 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +0.5 134.2 39% 80–71 ✗
Illinois State @ Bradley +6.7 137.2 77% 88–71 ✗
Ohio State @ Penn State -2.1 145.8 46% 92–82 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Belmont +11.7 151.0 86% 59–63 ✓
BYU @ Pacific -6.8 143.9 29% 80–52 ✓
Utah @ Oregon State -1.8 141.7 41% 56–74 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Murray State +14.1 139.6 87% 68–59 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Austin Peay +9.4 145.1 83% 57–79 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga +18.1 145.3 90% 65–87 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan +10.1 136.8 86% 64–71 ✓
Arizona @ UCLA +2.8 140.3 67% 60–74 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ UT Martin -11.6 153.9 16% 89–72 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +0.9 140.2 49% 86–91 ✓
Winthrop @ High Point -7.7 145.4 18% 76–70 ✓
San Diego @ Santa Clara +6.7 136.8 75% 71–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco +3.7 137.8 66% 68–63 ✗
Sacramento State @ Southern Utah +4.5 151.2 70% 69–88 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State +16.2 147.9 89% 59–92 ✓
Montana @ Eastern Washington +7.6 146.2 80% 76–90 ✓
San Diego State @ Fresno State -13.8 131.2 13% 67–53 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +11.4 134.2 88% 64–84 ✓
California @ Washington State +5.5 133.7 73% 51–82 ✓
Stanford @ Washington -6.8 140.0 27% 79–61 ✓
Colorado @ Oregon +0.8 139.1 55% 56–60 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +1.1 135.0 51% 55–66 ✓
Canisius @ Fairfield -4.0 138.6 28% 80–69 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +2.6 149.2 69% 72–70 ✗
Longwood @ Charleston Southern -5.2 130.3 28% 64–58 ✓
Campbell @ Hampton -1.8 140.1 38% 73–68 ✓
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky -9.6 146.5 19% 75–81 ✗
Oakland @ Milwaukee +3.2 157.8 62% 85–81 ✗
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy +10.1 152.4 84% 74–85 ✓
South Alabama @ App State +1.8 138.7 47% 65–63 ✗
Troy @ Georgia State +9.0 139.7 79% 66–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.