That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · February 19, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SCU -275 / USD +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual USD +11 131 Lost
Massey SCU -7.7 (-18.7) — —
Massey Totals — 133.8 (-2.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -6.7 (-17.7) 137.7 (-6.7) 78% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -6.2 (-17.2) 137.8 (-6.8) 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SCU -6.7 (-17.7) 139.5 (-8.5) 71% ✗
Baseline ML SCU -6.7 (-17.7) 136.8 (-5.8) 75% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2026 SCU 85 – 73 USD
Jan 5, 2026 SCU 98 – 70 USD
Feb 9, 2025 SCU 93 – 70 USD
Jan 3, 2025 SCU 81 – 80 USD
Mar 10, 2024 SCU 104 – 79 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU USD
Overall 12-8 3-11
Conference 4-5 2-7
Home 6-3 0-5
Away 4-3 3-5
Neutral 2-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 68.7 66.2
Avg Pts Against 70.9 77.1
Massey -1.2 (#182) -6.4 (#271)
Bradley-Terry 1.12 (#85) -0.74 (#229)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.78 (#127) -1.07 (#237)
RPI 0.554 (#79) 0.474 (#207)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU USD
FG% 40.7% 41.0%
3PT% 28.1% 33.5%
REB / G 37.0 33.1
OREB / G 8.3 7.1
AST / TO 0.86 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.2% 46.4%
TOV% 18.6% 18.3%
ORB% 22.9% 18.9%
FT Rate 27.1% 16.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.5% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 18.5%
DRB% 74.7% 74.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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