Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -110 ARIZ +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -1.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -3.0 (+11.0) | 140.3 (-6.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -0.8 (+13.2) | 135.1 (-1.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -2.3 (+11.7) | 139.8 (-5.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -2.8 (+11.2) | 140.3 (-6.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 3, 2026 | UCLA 84 – 75 ARIZ |
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#55) | 11.4 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#41) | 1.45 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#42) | 2.05 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#22) | 0.557 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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