Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -110 CAL +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +31 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -5.0 (+26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -5.0 (+26.0) | 133.0 (+0.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -3.7 (+27.3) | 132.3 (+0.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -5.0 (+26.0) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -5.5 (+25.5) | 133.7 (-0.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WSU 84 – 65 CAL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CAL 81 – 75 WSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | WSU 69 – 52 CAL |
| Feb 25, 2023 | WSU 63 – 57 CAL |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WSU 66 – 51 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#114) | 1.1 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#111) | 0.01 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#99) | 0.27 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#151) | 0.473 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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