Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +450 STAN -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +18 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -8.4 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -6.7 (-11.3) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -6.5 (-11.5) | 139.1 (+0.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -6.8 (-11.2) | 141.6 (-1.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -6.8 (-11.2) | 140.0 (-0.0) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | WASH 85 – 65 STAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | STAN 90 – 80 WASH |
| Feb 26, 2023 | STAN 81 – 69 WASH |
| Jan 13, 2023 | WASH 86 – 69 STAN |
| Feb 6, 2022 | STAN 87 – 69 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 10-10 |
| Home | 4-7 | 5-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#188) | 9.4 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#207) | 1.69 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#205) | 2.20 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#216) | 0.585 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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