Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +125 UTAH -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -3.1 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -1.6 (+19.6) | 140.5 (-10.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -1.7 (+19.7) | 137.6 (-7.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.6 (+19.6) | 140.7 (-10.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -1.8 (+19.8) | 141.7 (-11.7) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2024 | ORST 92 – 85 UTAH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UTAH 74 – 47 ORST |
| Jan 27, 2023 | UTAH 63 – 44 ORST |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UTAH 79 – 60 ORST |
| Feb 4, 2022 | UTAH 84 – 59 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#137) | 7.5 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#131) | 0.99 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#114) | 1.48 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#178) | 0.537 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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