Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +200 LONG -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +6 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -6.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -5.3 (-0.7) | 130.5 (-8.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -4.8 (-1.2) | 129.6 (-7.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -5.2 (-0.8) | 130.0 (-8.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -5.2 (-0.8) | 130.3 (-8.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LONG 107 – 96 CHSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LONG 81 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 85 LONG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LONG 83 – 78 CHSO |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CHSO 83 – 77 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-18 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 2-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 1-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#334) | -4.3 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.60 (#342) | -1.52 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.06 (#344) | -1.64 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#334) | 0.448 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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