Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -450 RUTG +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -9.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -9.7 (-2.7) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -8.4 (-1.4) | 136.2 (-1.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -9.7 (-2.7) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -10.1 (-3.1) | 136.8 (-1.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MICH 101 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MICH 84 – 82 RUTG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MICH 66 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | RUTG 82 – 52 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RUTG 69 – 59 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#5) | 12.9 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.04 (#3) | 2.36 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.18 (#3) | 3.34 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#4) | 0.582 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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