Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PSU +200 OSU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +10 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -3.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.8 (-7.2) | 145.2 (+28.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -1.2 (-8.8) | 140.4 (+33.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.0 (-8.0) | 146.5 (+27.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.1 (-7.9) | 145.8 (+28.2) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | OSU 94 – 62 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | OSU 84 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OSU 83 – 64 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OSU 79 – 67 PSU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | PSU 83 – 80 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#38) | 17.4 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#60) | 3.30 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#33) | 4.69 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#97) | 0.630 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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