Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | PSU +260 OSU -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +32 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -8.8 (-23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -7.6 (-24.4) | 148.4 (+7.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -6.6 (-25.4) | 146.3 (+9.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -6.4 (-25.6) | 148.0 (+8.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.5 (-25.5) | 147.7 (+8.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | OSU 84 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OSU 83 – 64 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OSU 79 – 67 PSU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | PSU 83 – 80 OSU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | PSU 75 – 71 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#124) | 14.7 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#115) | 2.29 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#132) | 3.08 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#183) | 0.570 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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