Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -850 PSU +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -15.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -13.5 (-7.5) | 150.4 (+11.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -13.2 (-7.2) | 149.0 (+13.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -12.4 (-6.4) | 150.8 (+11.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -12.0 (-6.0) | 151.3 (+10.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | OSU 94 – 62 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OSU 83 – 64 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OSU 79 – 67 PSU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | PSU 83 – 80 OSU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | PSU 75 – 71 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#37) | 2.5 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#44) | 0.11 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#39) | 0.05 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#45) | 0.506 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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