Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | PSU +175 OSU -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -4.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -3.9 (+6.9) | 148.2 (+14.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -5.8 (+8.8) | 148.3 (+14.7) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -5.7 (+8.7) | 148.3 (+14.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -5.8 (+8.8) | 146.7 (+16.3) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | OSU 94 – 62 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | OSU 84 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OSU 83 – 64 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OSU 79 – 67 PSU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | PSU 75 – 71 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#130) | 12.1 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#275) | 2.19 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#255) | 3.24 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#281) | 0.633 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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