Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -154 PSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -4.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.0 (-6.0) | 145.5 (+0.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -3.8 (-7.8) | 143.1 (+2.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.2 (-6.2) | 146.1 (-0.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.0 (-6.0) | 146.7 (-0.7) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | OSU 94 – 62 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | OSU 84 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OSU 83 – 64 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OSU 79 – 67 PSU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | PSU 83 – 80 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#50) | 9.1 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#114) | 1.46 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#90) | 2.04 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#179) | 0.541 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 17.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 13.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.