Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | PSU -170 OSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +19 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -0.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -2.0 (-21.0) | 149.7 (-2.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -0.9 (-19.9) | 150.0 (-3.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -0.7 (-19.7) | 151.7 (-4.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -1.7 (-20.7) | 153.7 (-6.7) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | OSU 94 – 62 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | OSU 84 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OSU 79 – 67 PSU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | PSU 83 – 80 OSU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | PSU 75 – 71 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#39) | 15.8 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#66) | 2.31 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#58) | 3.54 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#78) | 0.587 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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