Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -138 ILST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +17 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -8.6 (-25.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -6.8 (-23.8) | 136.2 (+22.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -5.4 (-22.4) | 135.2 (+23.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -6.9 (-23.9) | 136.2 (+22.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -6.7 (-23.7) | 137.2 (+21.8) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 7-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-6 | 3-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#136) | -4.0 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#190) | -1.21 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#195) | -1.33 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#181) | 0.441 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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