Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -1200 NAU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +33 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -18.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -15.1 (+17.9) | 148.8 (+2.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -13.1 (+19.9) | 143.1 (+7.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -14.7 (+18.3) | 144.4 (+6.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -16.2 (+16.8) | 147.9 (+3.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WEB 72 – 53 NAU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | WEB 78 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | WEB 77 – 73 NAU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NAU 80 – 77 WEB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WEB 85 – 58 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-6 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 11-0 | 1-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#103) | -10.7 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#172) | -2.00 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#166) | -2.77 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#118) | 0.453 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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